The Party Preference Survey in November 2007

The Political Party Preference Survey from Statistics Sweden shows that the Social Democratic Party (s) and the Left Party (v) together would have received their own majority if an election had been held in November.

The parties in government (Centre Party (c), Liberal Party (fp), Moderate Party (m) and Christian Democratic Party (kd)) would have received 39.9 percent of the votes if an election had been held in November. This figure is a statistically significant drop of 8.3 percentage points since the election in 2006, but is not a statistically significant change compared to the measurement in May. The Social Democratic Party (s) and the Left Party (v) would have received their own majority of about 51 percent of the votes if an election had been held in November. This is a statistically significant increase of about 1.1 percentage points since the May measurement and about 10.2 percentage points since the election in 2006. However, the Social Democratic Party together with the Green Party (mp) would not have a statistically significant majority in November. The opposition parties (Social Democrats, Left and Green) had 56.2 percent of the electorate in November.

Estimations of election results "if an election had been held today". November 2007
Type of question: Which party would you vote for if an election was to be held in the next few coming days?

1) Margin of error applies to estimations of percentages and of changes.
*The change is statistically significant.

Definitions and explanations

The PSU is carried out by telephone interviews with a nationwide randomly selected probability sample comprising 9 383 people who are eligible to vote in the elections to the Riksdag, without any maximum age limit. Of these, 11.5 percent were not able to be contacted (including those with secret telephone number or without a telephone), 3.1 percent were too ill to be interviewed and 11.6 percent did not wish to participate in the interview. It was also the case that some people did not wish to respond to certain questions. Interviews were carried out by telephone during the period from 29 October until 25 November.

The results are presented in intervals or point estimations ± the margin of error. The interval based on a percentage estimation ± the margin of error is here a 95% confidence interval, i.e. an interval which contains the true population value to a 95% probability if no systematic errors are present.