Statistics Sweden's Party Preference Survey shows that if a parliamentary election were to be held in May then the government parties (Centre Party, Liberal Party, Moderate Party and Christian Democrats) would receive approximately 44.2 percent of the votes. The opposition parties (Social Democrat, Left Party and Green Party) would have received approximately 50.2 percent of the votes.
This is a statistically significant increase for the government parties since the Party Preference Survey from November of 2009 and a statistically significant decrease from the parliamentary election of 2006. In May the Centre Party would have received 4.6 percent (±0.4), the Liberal Party 5.8 percent (±0.4), the Moderate Party 29.2 percent (±0.8) and the Christian Democrats 4.5 percent (±0.4).
This would not mean a statistically significant change for the opposition parties compared to the Party Preference Survey conducted in November, but would be a statistically significant increase compared to the parliamentary election of 2006. In May the Social Democrats would have received 33.8 percent (±0.9), the Left Party 5.6 percent (±0.5), and the Green Party 10.7 percent (±0.7).
In the event of an election in May, other parties would have received a 5.7 percent (±0.5) of the votes. Among the other parties the Sweden Democrats are clearly the largest. The party would receive 3.9 percent (±0.4) percent of the votes if an election were held in May. The Pirate Party dominates the remaining part of the other party's group.
The table below shows party estimates and estimates of change since the parliamentary election 2006 and the Party Preference Survey in November of 2009. An asterisk (*) is used to mark a statistically significant changes. For a more detailed summary of the interval for both percentual changes and estimates of change, see tables 2 and 3 in the Statistical Report.