Support for euro sharply down

If there were to be a referendum on the euro in November 2011, about 80 percent would vote no to the euro while about 11 percent would vote yes. About 8 percent do not know how to vote. The percentage of no votes has increased, while the percentage of yes has decreased compared to May 2011. Both changes are statistically significant.

Among both men and women the percentage of yes votes has decreased and the percentage of no votes has increased since May 2011. The changes are statistically significant. In November 2011 roughly 80 percent of the women and roughly 81 percent of the men would have voted no in a referendum. The corresponding figures for May 2011 were about 65 percent for women and 63 percent for men. The percentage of yes votes among the women has decreased from about 22 percent in May to about 10 percent in November 2011. Among the men the percentage of yes votes has decreased from about 27 percent in May to about 13 percent in November.

Percentage who would vote yes and no to the euro in November 2011, broken down by sex. Percent

	November 2011					May 2011			November 2010
	Yes	No	Do not know	Total	Number of responses	Yes	No	Do not know	Yes	No	Do not know
Total	11.2*	80.4*	8.4*	100	5 907	24.1	63.7	12.2	28.5	58.4	13.0
Women	9.9*	80.2*	9.8*	100	2 911	21.7	64.7	13.6	25.4	60.0	14.6
Men	12.6*	80.6*	6.8	100	2 996	26.6	62.6	10.8	31.7	56.9	11.4

*The change from May is statistically significant.

EMU/euro preferences 1997-2011. Percent

Graph

Of those who replied in May 2011 that they would vote yes to the euro, about 39 percent would still vote yes, while about 52 percent now in November 2011 would vote no. The remaining 9 percent do not know how they would vote. Among those who would have voted no in May, about 95 percent would still vote no, about 2 percent would vote yes and about 3 percent do not know. Of those who in May did not have an opinion about the question, about 5 percent now say they would vote yes and about 64 percent would vote no. About 32 percent still lack an opinion about the question.

Voting yes or no to the euro (euro preference) in November 2011, distribution of answers by euro preference in May 2011. Percent

Euro preference May 2011	Voting yes or no to the euro (euro preference), November 2011
	YES	NO	Do not know	Total	Number of responses
Will be voting Yes	39.1	51.7	9.3	100	866
Will be voting no	2.0	94.7	3.3	100	2 221
Do not know	4.7	63.7	31.6	100	382

Reduced support for EU membership

The proportion of those who say they are mainly for Sweden’s EU membership in November 2011 is about 47 percent. The proportion against EU membership was about 25 percent, and the proportion who did not have an opinion was about 28 percent.

Compared to May 2011, the proportion for EU membership has dropped, while the proportion that is against EU membership has increased. Both changes are statistically significant. Among men as well as women the decrease in the proportion for and the increase in the proportion against are both statistically significant.

Percentage who would vote for and against membership in November 2011, broken down by sex. Percent

	November 2011					May 2011			November 2010
	For	Against	Do not know	Total	Number of responses	For	Against	Do not know	For	Against	Do not know
Total	47.2*	24.7*	28.1	100	5 907	51.9	20.9	27.2	55.2	18.9	25.9
Women	43.1*	24.1*	32.8	100	2 911	48.2	20.2	31.6	50.4	19.1	30.5
Men	51.3*	25.4*	23.3	100	2 996	55.7	21.6	22.7	60.2	18.7	21.1

*The change from May is statistically significant.

EU preferences 1992-2011 Percent

Graph

Of those who in May 2011 answered that they were for Sweden's membership in the EU, about 78 percent remain steadfast, while about 7 percent are now against and about 15 percent do not have an opinion about the question. Among those who would have voted against EU membership in May, about 77 percent would still be against, about 8 percent would be for EU membership and about 15 percent lack an opinion about the question. Of those who in May 2011 did not have an opinion about the question, about 22 percent now say they are for membership and about 19 percent are against. About 59 percent still lack an opinion about the question.

For or against EU membership (EU preference) in November 2011, distribution of answers by EU preference in May 2011. Percent

EU preference in May 2011	For or Against EU membership (EU preference), November 2011
	For	Against	Do not know	Total	Number of responses
For	78.1	6.8	15.1	100	1 828
Against	8.0	77.0	15.0	100	745
Do not know	22.4	18.6	59.0	100	896

Definitions and explanations

The Party Preference Survey in November 2011 was conducted by telephone interviews of a national random probability sample consisting of 9 060 persons entitled to vote in the Riksdag election, without an upper age limit. Of these persons, 13.9 percent could not be reached (including unlisted telephone numbers and those without telephones), 3.7 percent were too ill to be interviewed and 17.2 percent did not want to be interviewed. The total non-response rate was 34.8 percent. A total of 5 907 interviews were conducted. In addition, some persons did not want to answer certain questions. The interviews were conducted by telephone during the period 1 - 27 November. The majority of the interviews were conducted during the first half of the measuring period. 77 percent of the interviews had been conducted up to and including 16 November.

The results are presented in intervals or point estimations ± margins of error. The interval that is created of the percent estimation ± margin of error here is a 95 percent confidence interval, which is an interval with a 95 percent probability including the actual value of the population, if no systematic errors occur.