Press release from Statistics Sweden

2012-12-12 9:30 AM Nr 2012:927


EU and euro preferences in November 2012:

Lowest support ever for euro

If there were to be a referendum on the euro in November 2012, 82 percent would vote no to the euro while 10 percent would vote yes. 8 percent say they do not know how they would vote. The percentage of yes votes has decreased, while the percentage of no votes has increased compared to May 2012. Both changes are statistically significant.

The percentage of yes votes has decreased while the percentage of no votes has increased among both women and men. The changes are statistically significant. In November 2012 82 percent among women and 83 percent among men would have voted no in a referendum. The corresponding figures for May 2012 were 78 percent for both women and men. The percentage of yes votes among the women has decreased from about 12 percent in May to 8 percent in November 2012. Among the men the percentage of yes votes has decreased from 15 percent in May to 11 percent in November.

Percentage who would vote yes and no to the euro in November 2012, broken down by sex. Percent
 
November 2012
May 2012
Nov. 2011
 
Yes
No
Do not know
Total
Number of responses
Yes
No
Do not know
Yes
No
Do not know
Total
9.6*
82.3*
8.0
100
5 479
13.6
77.7
8.7
11.2 80.4 8.4
Women
8.2* 81.6* 10.2 100 2 711 11.8 77.6 10.6 9.9 80.2 9.8
Men
11.1* 83.1* 5.8* 100 2 768 15.4 77.9 6.8 12.6 80.6 6.8

* The change from May is statistically significant.

EMU/euro preferences 1997–2012. Percent

Of those who replied in May 2012 that they would vote yes to the euro, 52 percent would still vote yes, while 37 percent now in November 2012 would vote no. The remaining 11 percent do not know how they would vote.  Among those who would have voted no in May, 95 percent would still vote no, 2 percent would vote yes and 3 percent do not know. Of those who in May did not have an opinion about the question, 10 percent now say they would vote yes and 49 percent would vote no. 41 percent still lack an opinion about the question.

 

Voting yes or no to the euro (euro preference) in November 2012, distribution of answers by euro preference in May 2012. Percent
Euro preference, May 2012
Voting yes or no to the euro (euro preference), November 2012
 
Yes
No
Do not know
Total
Number of responses
Will be voting Yes
51.9 36.6 11.4 100 431
Will be voting No
2.0 94.6 3.3 100 2 414
Do not know
10.2 49.1 40.7 100 263

Slightly decreased support for EU membership

The proportion of those who say they are mainly for Sweden's EU membership in November 2012 was 45 percent. The proportion against EU membership was 26 percent, and the proportion who did not have an opinion was 29 percent.

The percentage for Sweden's EU membership has decreased, while the percentage against EU membership has increased compared to May 2012. Both changes are statistically significant.

Percentage who are for and against EU membership in November 2012, broken down by sex. Percent
 
November 2012
May 2012
November 2011
 
For
Against
Do not know
Total
Number of responses
For
Against
Do not know
For
Against
Do not know
Total
44.6*
26.3*
29.2
100
5 479
46.9
24.2
28.9
47.2
24.7 28.1
Women
41.1* 25.6* 33.3 100 2 711 43.3 23.3 33.4 43.1 24.1 32.8
Men
48.1* 27.0* 24.9 100 2 768 50.7 25.1 24.2 51.3 25.4 23.3

* The change from May is statistically significant.

EU preferences 1992–2012. Percent

Of those who in May 2012 answered that they were for Sweden's membership in the EU, 80 percent remain steadfast, while 6 percent are now against and 14 percent do not have an opinion about the question. Among those who were against EU membership in May, 77 percent are still against, 7 percent are for EU membership and 17 percent lack an opinion about the question. Of those who in May 2012 did not have an opinion about the question, 23 percent now say they are for EU membership and 18 percent are against. 59 percent still lack an opinion about the question.

For or against EU membership (EU preference) in November 2012, distribution of answers by EU preference in May 2012. Percent
Euro preference in May 2012
For or against EU membership (EU preference), November 2012
 
For
Against
Do not know
Total
Number of responses
For
80.2 5.5 14.3 100 1 508
Against
6.6 76.5 16.9 100 767
Do not know
22.9 18.1 59.0 100 833

Definitions and explanations

The Party Preference Survey in November 2012 was conducted by telephone interviews of a national random probability sample consisting of 8 999 persons entitled to vote in the parliamentary election, without an upper age limit. Of these persons, 16.7 percent could not be reached, 3.5 percent were too ill to be interviewed and 18.9 percent did not want to be interviewed. The total non-response rate was 39.1 percent. A total of 5 479 interviews were conducted. In addition, some persons did not want to answer certain questions. The interviews were conducted by telephone during the period 1 - 25 November. The majority of the interviews were conducted during the first half of the measuring period. 76 percent of the interviews had been conducted up to and including 15 November.

The results are presented in intervals or point estimations ± margins of error. The interval that is created of the percent estimation ± margin of error here is a 95 percent confidence interval, which is an interval with a 95 percent probability including the actual value of the population, if no systematic errors occur.

Publication

This report is published in more detail in tables now available on Statistics Sweden's website.

EU preferences November 2012 (pdf)

Euro preferences November 2012 (pdf)

 

Next publishing will be

The Political Party Preference Survey for May 2013 will be published on 4 June 2013 at 09:30

EU and euro preferences in May 2013 will be published on 11 June 2013 at 09:30

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Statistical agency and producer

Statistics Sweden, Democracy Statistics
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Fax +46 8 506 947 72


Enquiries

Johan Eklund
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