Population projections

Upcoming publishing: 2023-04-18

A population forecast for Sweden is carried out every year, broken down by age, sex and country of birth group. A more comprehensive analysis is carried out every third year of future population trends, where a main alternative and alternative projections are produced. Follow-ups and revisions are carried out for the years in between.

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Statistical news

More older people in all counties and municipalities by 2040

2022-05-25

Statistics Sweden annually publishes a population projection for Sweden’s counties and municipalities since 2020. The aim is to make the projection available to the public. The sum of the estimated population from the regional population projection is consistent with that from the national projection. The calculations are based on the assumption that the observed development patterns of the population will continue in the future. The calculations do not take into account municipalities’ planned housing construction, company establishment or other future goals and conditions. A projection cannot foretell the exactness of the future. Projections for the counties and municipalities that consider different scenarios are also possible.

All statistical news for this statistic

Tables and graphs

Name	Type	Date
Population by sex and country of birth 1970–2021 and projection 2022–2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Population by sex, age and country of birth 1970 and 2021 and projection 2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Immigration and emigration by sex and country of birth 1970–2021 and projection 2022–2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Children per woman by country of birth 1970–2021 and projection 2022–2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Births and deaths by sex and country of birth 1970–2021 and projection 2022–2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Life expectancy at birth and age 65 by sex 1970–2021 and projection 2022–2070	Graph	2022-04-13
Proportion alive by year of birth, sex and age. Born 1922 and projection born 2022	Graph	2022-04-13

Tables in the Statistical Database

Latest projections

Name	Date
Population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Population by region, born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25
Population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25
Number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25

Latest assumptions

Name	Date
Death rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13
Emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2120	2022-04-13

Latest projections with alternative assumptions

Name	Date
Number of births, deaths, migration and population under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-28
Population size by age, sex, region of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-28
Fertility under different alternatives and region of birth. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-28
Life expectancy under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-28

Earlier projections

Name	Date
Projection 2021 population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 population by region, born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Forecast year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2021 population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2021 number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2020 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2070	2020-06-03
Projection 2020 number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2020 - 2070	2020-06-03
Projection 2019 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projections life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2018 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 Number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 population by age and sex. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2016-03-23
Projection 2015 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 population by age and sex. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2009 population by age and sex. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2006 population size by age and sex. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-05-30
Projection 2003 population size by age and sex. Year 2002 - 2050	2003-05-22
Projection 2000 population size by age and sex. Year 1999 - 2050	2000-07-06

Earlier assumptions

Name	Date
Projection 2020 death rate by sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2019 death rate by sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2018 death rate by sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 death rate by sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 fertility assumption. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projections 2015 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 death rate by sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 fertility assumption. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projections 2012 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projections 2009 fertility assumption. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 death rate by sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13

Earlier projections with alternative assumptions

Name	Date
Projection 2018 number of births, deaths, migration and population under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 fertility and life expectancy under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 population size by age, sex, region of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2009 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2006 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-10-13
Projection 2006 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-10-13
Projection 2006 population size by age, sex, country of birth (born in Sweden or abroad) and alternative assumptions. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-08-31

Publications

Title	Language	Type	Date
The future population of Sweden 2022-2070	Swedish	Report	2022-04-13
Scenaries of asylum immigration and impact on the population	Swedish	Report	2022-04-13
The future population in counties and municipalities of Sweden, 2021–2040	Swedish	Report	2021-06-03
The future population of Sweden 2021-2070	Swedish	Report	2021-04-28
Appendix, The future population of Sweden	Swedish	Report	2021-04-28
The future population of Sweden 2020–2030	Swedish	SM	2020-06-03
The future population of Sweden 2020-2070	Swedish	SM	2020-04-08
The future population of Sweden 2019-2070	Swedish	SM	2019-04-12
The future population of Sweden 2018–2070	Swedish	Report	2018-04-26
The future population of Sweden 2016–2060	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2018-03-13
The future population of Sweden 2017-2016	Swedish	SM	2017-04-06
The future population of Sweden 2015–2060	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2015-05-19
The future population of Sweden 2014–2060	Swedish with elements of English	SM	2014-04-15
Re-immigration of Swedish-born by background	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2014-02-14
Model for estimating re-emigration by reason for residence permit	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2012-02-06
The significance of time in Sweden for fertility	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2012-02-06
Return migration by time spent in Sweden	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2011-09-16
Model to forecast the re-immigration of Swedish-born	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2009-09-11
Population growth in municipality groups and the influence on total fertility	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2006-03-10
The fertility projection model description of the calculation of numbers of births	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2005-12-19
SCB's model for population projections	Swedish	Rapport	2005-04-22

Show older publications (48)

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