Party Preference Survey in May 2022 – Election today
Political Party Preference Survey, May 2022
Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2022-06-02 8.00
The Political Party Preference Survey presents election results if a parliamentary election were held in May 2022, as well as changes since November 2021 and since the 2018 parliamentary election.
In an election in May 2022, the votes would be cast as follows (percentage and margin of uncertainty).
Social Democratic Party (S): 33.3 percent ± 1.3 percentage point
Moderate Party (M): 21.3 percent ± 1.1 percentage point
Sweden Democrats (SD): 17.0 percent ± 1.0 percentage point
Left Party (V): 7.8 percent ± 0.7 percentage point
Centre Party (C): 6.7 percent ± 0.7 percentage point
Christian Democrats (KD): 5.2 percent ± 0.6 percentage point
Liberal Party (L): 3.4 percent ± 0.5 percentage point
Green Party (MP): 3.3 percent ± 0.5 percentage point
Other parties: 2.0 percent ± 0.5 percentage point
The proportion of the respondents who were undecided was about 15 percent in May 2022.
Type of question: Which party would you vote for if an election were to be held in the next few days?
|Estimate May 2022||Estimate November 2021|
|Party||Percent||Margin of error||Percent||Margin of error||Change since November 2021||Election 2018||Change since election 2018|
|Percent||Margin of error||Percent||Margin of error||Percent||Margin of error|
|Småland med öarna||8.1||±2.8||3.4||±1.8||17.0||±4.0||8.0||±2.8||33.6||±5.3||3.8||±1.9||1.9||±1.2||22.2||±4.6||..||..|
|Stockholms län exkl. Stockholms kommun||6.6||±2.3||3.9||±1.5||28.3||±4.2||6.6||±2.4||31.2||±4.4||5.3||±2.1||2.7||±1.5||12.7||±3.2||2.7||±2.0|
|Mellersta och övre Norrland||8.6||±2.9||2.0||±1.4||15.3||±3.9||4.9||±2.3||40.0||±5.2||8.0||±2.8||3.8||±2.4||16.7||±4.6||..||..|
Sydsverige: Blekinge County and Skåne County
Småland med öarna: Jönköping County, Kronoberg County, Kalmar County and Gotland County
Västsverige: Halland County and Västra Götaland County
Östra Mellansverige: Uppsala County, Södermanland County, Östergötland County, Örebro County and Västmanland County
Norra Mellansverige: Värmland County, Dalarna County and Gävleborg County
Mellersta och övre Norrland: Västernorrland County, Jämtland County, Västerbotten County and Norrbotten County
A table of regional survey results from the current and the previous electoral period is available in Statistics Sweden’s Statistical Database:
Definitions and explanations
The Party Preference Survey in May 2022 was conducted with a national random sample consisting of 9 228 persons entitled to vote in a parliamentary election, without any upper age limit. Answers from these people are collected through telephone interviews and online questionnaires. As in previous surveys, all available telephone numbers, both to mobile phones and fixed phones, have been used to contact the selected persons.
Among the sample persons, 34.0 percent could not be reached, 2.4 percent were unable to participate, and 17.2 percent did not wish to be participate. The total non-response rate was 53.7 percent. The total number of respondents was 4 274, which corresponds to 46.3 percent. A more detailed presentation of the non-response is available in the survey’s Quality declaration.
The data was collected during the period from 28 April to 25 May.
The results are presented in the form of point estimates ± margins of uncertainty. The interval that is formed by the percent estimate ± margin of error here is a 95 percent uncertainty interval, which is an interval that, with 95 percent confidence, includes the actual value of the population, if no systematic errors occur.
Next publishing will be
On 8 June, information about political party preferences in May 2022 will be published, in total and by demographic group. Statistics Sweden has opted to split up the Political Party Preference Survey results to make it possible to publish “Election today estimate” as quickly as possible after completed data collection, and also to make it clear that there are two different measurements involved. “Election today estimate” is measured using the question “Which party would you vote for if a parliamentary election was held in the next few days?” while the political party preference is measured using the questions “Do you prefer one of the political parties more than the others?” and “Which party do you prefer the most?”.
The publication on 8 June also contains information about EU and euro preferences, in total and by demographic group, and the electorate’s attitude towards NATO.
Feel free to use the facts from this statistical news but remember to state Source: Statistics Sweden.