National accounts: Monthly GDP indicator, September 2025

GDP-indicator slightly down in September

Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2025-10-29 8.00

Sweden’s GDP contracted 0.1 percent in September, seasonally adjusted and compared with the previous month, as shown by the preliminary compilation of the GDP indicator. For the third quarter as a whole GDP increased by 1.1 percent compared with the preceding quarter. Calender adjusted GDP for September was 2.7 percent higher than in the corresponding month of the preceding year, while GDP for the quarter as a whole was 2.4 percent higher than in the third quarter of 2024.

The GDP indicator provides an early picture of the development of the gross domestic product, GDP. It is compiled on a monthly and quarterly basis with more limited and preliminary statistics than the regular quarterly national accounts. The monthly version of the indicator lies outside the official statistics and is classified as statistics under construction.

"Swedish economic activity increased in the third quarter, primarily driven by strong figures for the month of August", says Mattias Kain Wyatt, economist at Statistics Sweden.

GDP, seasonally adjusted volume development and index (2024 = 100)

Balancing and revisions

In a first step, the GDP indicator calculates two separate GDP outcomes from the production and use sides of the economy. Then a reconciliation is made in which one side is adjusted downwards and the other side is adjusted upwards to arrive at a single final result. Before reconciliation, the statistical data in September showed actual GDP development from the use side of 3.2 percent and corresponding development from the production side of 4.9 percent, compared with the corresponding month a year ago. In line with standard balancing procedures, this results in a reconciled actual change in GDP of 4.1 percent. For the quarter as a whole, non-adjusted GDP development was 1.8 percent for the use side and 2.9 percent for the production side compared with the corresponding quarter a year ago. This resulted in actual GDP growth of 2.4 percent.

September had one additional working day compared to the corresponding month of the preceeding year while the third quarter as a whole had the same amount of working days as the same quarter of the preceeding year.

In accordance with the revision policy for the GDP indicator, only months in the current quarter have been revised.

GDP, actual development from the production and use side and reconciled results

  Published 29/10/2025 Published 10/10/2025
  Prod. Use Reconciled Prod. Use Reconciled
July 2.3 0.8 1.6 2.6 1.1 1.9
August 1.1 1.0 1.0 1,0 1,0 1,0
September 4.9 3.2 4.1      
Third Quarter 2.9 1.8 2.4      

Additional information

Time series and revision history for the GDP indicator.

For more information about the indicator, see Compilation of the Swedish GDP indicator.

Next publishing will be

The GDP indicator for October 2025 will be published 2025-12-10 at 08:00. The full quarterly national accounts for the third quarter of 2025 will be published 2025-11-28 at 08:00.

Statistical Database

More information is available in the Statistical Database