Fourth quarter 2025
Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy decreased in 2025
Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2026-06-04 8.00
Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy amounted to 51.2 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents in 2025, according to preliminary statistics from Statistics Sweden. This corresponds to a decrease of 1.8 per cent compared with 2024. Over the same period, GDP at constant prices increased by 1.5 per cent, resulting in a reduction in emissions intensity of 3.2 per cent.
In seven of the nine aggregated industries reported by Statistics Sweden, emissions decreased (see table below). Measured in kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents, the largest reduction occurred in the manufacturing industry, where emissions declined by 382 kilotonnes, corresponding to 2.8 per cent. Measured in percentage terms, the construction sector recorded the largest reduction, 5.4 per cent, corresponding to 117 kilotonnes. A notable decrease was also observed for households and non-profit organisations, where emissions fell by 261 kilotonnes (3.0 per cent). The two aggregated industries in which emissions increased were agriculture, forestry and fishing, and mining and quarrying. Here, emissions rose by 133 kilotonnes (1.6 per cent) and 55 kilotonnes (6.6 per cent) respectively.
One contributing factor behind the decline in emissions in 2025 is reduced deliveries of fossil diesel compared to 2024. At the same time, deliveries of biodiesel (HVO) increased. This is according to Statistics Sweden’s statistics on fuel deliveries to the Swedish market (Monthly Fuel, Gas and Stock Statistics).
From a longer-term perspective (see chart below), emissions in 2025 were higher than the annual emissions between 2020 and 2023. Compared with 2019, emissions in 2025 have decreased by 5.4 per cent.
Summary for the full year 2025
- Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy decreased by 1.8 per cent between 2024 and 2025, corresponding to a reduction of 0.9 million tonnes, totalling 51.2 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents.
- Emissions decreased in seven of the nine aggregated industries reported by Statistics Sweden (see table below).
- The largest reduction in absolute terms (kilotonnes) occurred in manufacturing, where emissions fell by 382 kilotonnes (2.8 per cent).
- Among the sub-industries within manufacturing, the wood, pulp, paper and printing industry (NACE C16–C18) recorded the largest decrease, at 162 kilotonnes. Emissions increased in only one sub-industry, namely the manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (NACE C29), where emissions rose by 65 kilotonnes.
- The largest reduction in percentage terms was recorded in construction, where emissions declined by 5.4 per cent (117 kilotonnes).
- A notable decrease was also observed for households and non-profit organisations, where emissions fell by 261 kilotonnes (3.0 per cent).
- In the transport sector, emissions decreased by 192 kilotonnes (2.3 per cent).
- In other services, emissions fell by 136 kilotonnes (4.2 per cent). The largest reduction occurred within wholesale and retail trade (NACE G45–G47), where emissions decreased by 70 kilotonnes.
- In two of the aggregated industries, emissions increased. The agriculture, forestry and fishing sector increased its emissions by 133 kilotonnes (1.6 per cent). In the mining and quarrying sector, emissions increased by 55 kilotonnes (6.6 per cent).
Greenhouse gas emissions and economic development, GDP at market prices and in constant prices (reference year 2025), 2008–2025, Index 2008=100.
Greenhouse gas emissions and value added (aggregated industries, NACE Rev. 2, not seasonally adjusted). Kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents and SEK million in constant prices, reference year 2024.
Aggregated industries, NACE Rev. 2 |
Preliminary greenhouse gas emissions |
Preliminary value added |
||||
2025 |
Change compared with 2024 |
2025 |
Change compared with 2024 |
|||
Agriculture, forestry and fishery |
8 344 |
133 |
1.6% |
101 929 |
-976 |
-0,9% |
Mining and quarrying |
896 |
55 |
6.6% |
34 349 |
6 433 |
23,0% |
Manufacturing |
13 254 |
-382 |
-2.8% |
800 027 |
-3 603 |
-0,4% |
Electricity, gas, heat, water, waste |
6 521 |
-2 |
0.0% |
189 387 |
-5 097 |
-2,6% |
Construction |
2 070 |
-117 |
-5.4% |
355 448 |
-11 183 |
-3,1% |
Transport |
8 354 |
-192 |
-2.3% |
209 477 |
-3 432 |
-1,6% |
Other services |
3 076 |
-136 |
-4.2% |
2 998 120 |
92 981 |
3,2% |
Public sector |
355 |
-11 |
-3.0% |
1 208 802 |
755 |
0,1% |
Households and non-profit institutions [1] |
8 323 |
-261 |
-3.0% |
72 903 |
1 807 |
2,5% |
Total economy [2] |
51 193 |
-913 |
-1.8% |
6 653 512 |
98 870 |
1,5% |
Development of greenhouse gas emissions and value added. Percentage change between 2024 and 2025
Developments in the fourth quarter of 2025
In the fourth quarter of 2025, greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy amounted to 12.9 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents. This represents an increase of 176 kilotonnes (1.4 per cent) compared with the same quarter in the previous year.
The increase is largely attributable to higher emissions in the electricity, gas and district heating; water, sewerage and waste sector, where emissions rose by 179 kilotonnes (10.7 per cent). Otherwise, trends are broadly similar between Q4 2025 and Q4 2024 as for the full year comparison: emissions decreased in the aggregated industries except for agriculture, forestry and fishing and mining and quarrying.
Definitions and explanations
What does the quarterly statistics show?
The quarterly statistics from Statistics Sweden’s environmental accounts present preliminary production-based air emissions from the Swedish economy, including households. Greenhouse gas emissions are expressed as the sum of individual gases measured in carbon dioxide equivalents.
Production-based emissions refer to emissions generated by Swedish economic actors. The statistics include emissions from Swedish companies and individuals, both within and outside Sweden’s borders. They follow the same system boundaries as national accounts, enabling calculations such as emissions intensity (emissions per unit of value added).
For the transport sector, emissions include those generated by transport companies domiciled in Sweden, regardless of where in the world they occur. Conversely, emissions from foreign operators are excluded. For example, emissions from foreign airlines operating to, from or within Sweden are not included.
In accordance with the Climate Convention, biogenic CO₂ emissions from the combustion of biofuels are reported separately from fossil CO₂ emissions. In the statistics on total greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy, these biogenic emissions are excluded. This is because harvesting of biomass is accounted for in the land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector in Sweden’s international reporting. Including both would result in double counting; therefore, biogenic emissions are presented as a separate category.
When comparing quarters, users should be aware of seasonal variation. For example, emissions from electricity, gas and district heating, water, sewerage and waste are higher during colder months, whereas household consumption of diesel and petrol is higher during warmer months.
Greenhouse gases in CO₂ equivalents are calculated as an aggregate of CO₂ (fossil), CH₄, N₂O, HFCs, PFCs and SF₆, using Global Warming Potential (GWP) factors consistent with reporting under the UNFCCC [1].
[1] IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp, AR5 Synthesis Report - Climate Change 2014 (ipcc.ch).
Revisions
As the OECD has resumed publishing air traffic data, these figures have once again been used to estimate emissions from aviation.
This publication uses SCB’s final annual estimates of emissions from the Swedish economy up to 2024 (published 26 March this year) as a basis, which has resulted in minor revisions to historical data.
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