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Environmental Accounts – Emissions to air second quarter 2023

Small decrease in emissions from the Swedish economy during the second quarter of 2023

Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2023-10-26 8.00

Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy decrease by 0.9 percent in the second quarter of 2023, compared to the same quarter last year. The reduction in emissions is mainly due to reduced emissions from electricity, gas and heating plants and reductions in the manufacturing industry.

The quarterly statistics from Statistics Sweden’s Environmental Accounts report production-based air emissions per industry from Sweden's economy, which also include households.

-Preliminary figures show that emissions from the Swedish economy decrease by just under one percent during the second quarter. A corresponding decrease in GDP by 1.3 percent can also be observed compared to the same quarter last year, says Max Jonsson, analyst at Statistics Sweden's environmental accounts.

The total greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy amount to 12.3 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalents during the second quarter of 2023. In the same quarter of 2022, greenhouse gas emissions were 12.4 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalents. During the period, Swedish GDP decreased by 1.3 percent. The greenhouse gas intensity, i.e. the emissions of greenhouse gases calculated per economic output, is unchanged.

Changes during the second quarter of 2023 in brief

The percentage changes below are compared with corresponding quarter in the previous year, unless otherwise stated. Emissions refer to greenhouse gas emissions measured in kilotons of carbon dioxide equivalents.

  • Emissions from the Swedish economy decrease by 0.9 percent in the second quarter of 2023 and amount to 12.3 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalents. During the same period, GDP decreases by 1.3 percent.
  • Regarding electricity, gas and heating plants as well as water, sewage and waste (SNI D35-E39), emissions decrease by 7.2 percent, which corresponds to 116 kilotons.
  • The manufacturing industry reduces emissions by 3.1 percent, which corresponds to 108 kilotons. The emission reductions come mainly from the rubber and plastic goods industry as well as from steel and metal production.
  • Emissions from the transport sector decrease by 26 kilotons, which corresponds to a 1.4 percent reduction. The use of aviation and marine fuels decrease, while the use of petrol and diesel by road traffic increases.
  • The construction sector increases emissions by 26 kilotons, which corresponds to an increase of 6.2 percent.
  • Emissions from private consumption increase by 3.4 percent, which is an increase of 67 kilotons.
  • The agriculture, forestry and fishing industries increase their emissions by 20 kilotons, and the mineral extraction industry reduces emissions by 22 kilotons.

The shifting need for fossil fuels in district heating systems with different weather is the main reason for varying emissions in this sector, both between years and when comparing emissions from different seasons.

When it comes to the increase in emissions from private consumption, it could partly be explained by price reductions in petrol and diesel.

Development of GDP at constant prices reference year 2022 and greenhouse gas emissions, 2008Q1-2023Q2, index 2008Q1=100

Development of GDP at constant prices 2022 and greenhouse gas emissions, 2008Q1-2023Q2, index 2008=100

Greenhouse gas emissions (in kilotons CO2 eq.) and value added, not seasonally adjusted, (in million SEK, constant prices reference year 2022), by NACE Rev. 2 industry aggregate
NACE 2007 industry Greenhouse gas emissions Value added
  2023Q2 Change compared to same quarter 2022 2023Q2 Change compared to 2022Q2
Agriculture, forestry and fishery 2 073 20 1.0% 25 377 903 3.7%
Mining 187 ‑22 ‑10.5% 10 604 ‑1 183 ‑10.0%
Manufacturing 3 341 ‑108 ‑3.1% 190 214 ‑3 474 ‑1.8%
Electricity, gas, heat, water, waste 1 500 ‑116 ‑7.2% 54 231 ‑2 190 ‑3.9%
Construction 453 26 6.2% 98 660 ‑4 133 ‑4.0%
Transport 1 854 ‑26 ‑1.4% 42 960 ‑4 698 ‑9.9%
Other services 726 44 6.4% 648 295 ‑2 746 ‑0.4%
Public sector 91 4 4.5% 260 110 ‑986 ‑0.4%
Households and non-profit institutions[1] 2 041 67 3.4% 17 193 178 1.0%
Total economy[2] 12 266 ‑112 ‑0.9% 1 347 644 ‑18 329 ‑1.3%

[1] Only non-profit institutions provide value added. [2] GDP from a production approach (not calendar corrected). Source: Statistics Sweden

Definitions and explanations

What do the quarterly statistics show?

The quarterly statistics from Statistics Sweden's environmental accounts report production-based emissions to air per industry from the Swedish economy, which also includes households. Production-based emissions include emissions of greenhouse gases from Swedish economic actors and differ in that respect from territorial emissions, which relates to national borders and constitute the statistics that are used to follow emission trends in relation to climate goals within the UN, EU and nationally.

Read more about different ways to calculate greenhouse gas emissions: Tre sätt att beräkna klimatpåverkande utsläpp (naturvardsverket.se)

The quarterly statistics cover emissions from Swedish companies and persons, both within as well as outside Sweden's borders. Emissions with the production perspective follow the same system boundary as the national economic statistics, i.e. the national accounts.

For the transport industry, emissions arising from transport companies with economic residence in Sweden are included regardless of where in the world these emissions occur. Emissions from e.g. foreign airlines flying to, from or within Sweden are not included.

When comparing quarters, the reader should be attentive to seasonal variation. For example, emissions from sectors covering electricity, gas, heat, water and waste are higher during the winter, whereas households’ consumption of diesel and petrol are higher during the summer.

Greenhouse gases in terms of carbon dioxide equivalents are calculated as an aggregate of fossil CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6. The conversion factors (Global Warming Potential, GWP) used to calculate carbon dioxide equivalents are also the factors used for reporting to the UNFCCC[1]. 

Biogenic CO2 is reported separately and is not included in reported aggregates for greenhouse gases and carbon dioxide equivalents. More information about biogenic CO2 and its climate impact is available on the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency's website: Biogena koldioxidutsläpp och klimatpåverkan (naturvardsverket.se)

[1] IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp, AR5 Synthesis Report - Climate Change 2014 (ipcc.ch)

Revisions

For the second quarter of 2023, following revisions have been applied since the previous publication: 
- During the first as well as the second quarter of 2023, emissions from aviation have been calculated by using deliveries of jet fuel to Swedish airports. When quality-assured data is again made available, the aviation emissions statistics will be recalculated using OECD data, which was used during the previous year.

More information on these updates is available at Miljöräkenskaper (scb.se) under the heading (in Swedish): Dokumentation.

Next publishing will be

The next statistical news on quarterly emissions to air for the third quarter of 2023, is scheduled for February 1st 2024.

Statistical Database

More information is available in the Statistical Database

Feel free to use the facts from this statistical news but remember to state Source: Statistics Sweden.

Statistical agency

Statistics Sweden

Enquiries

Max Jonsson

Telephone
+46 10 479 40 94
E-mail
max.jonsson@scb.se

Axel Ehrling

Telephone
+46 10 479 40 69
E-mail
axel.ehrling@scb.se