First quarter 2026
Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy increased in the first quarter of 2026
Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2026-08-27 8.00
Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy amounted to 12.9 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents in the first quarter of 2026, according to preliminary statistics from Statistics Sweden (SCB). This represents an increase of 0.6 per cent compared with the corresponding quarter of 2025. Over the same period, GDP at constant prices increased by 2.0 per cent, resulting in a 1.4 per cent decrease in emissions intensity. The increase was driven by the electricity, gas and heat supply; water supply, sewerage and waste management sector, where emissions rose by 10 per cent. This coincided with lower outdoor temperatures in Sweden during the first quarter of 2026 compared with the same quarter in 2025.
One reason for the increase in emissions was that the electricity, gas and heat supply; water supply, sewerage and waste management sector increased its emissions by 203 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents (10 per cent). In addition, emissions also increased in the mining and quarrying sector. Emissions decreased in all other sectors.
Compared with the first quarter of 2025, emissions declined in several sectors. One of the larger reductions occurred among households and non-profit institutions serving households, where emissions decreased by 51 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents. Emissions also decreased in the manufacturing sector, by 52 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents. Within the manufacturing sector, the largest decline was recorded in the sub-sector basic metals and fabricated metal products, where emissions decreased by 28 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents.
Summary of developments in the first quarter of 2026
Unless otherwise stated, the percentage changes below compare the first quarter of 2026 with the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Greenhouse gas emissions are measured in kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents.
- Total emissions from the Swedish economy increased by 77 kilotonnes, corresponding to an increase of 0.6 per cent.
- Of the aggregated industries presented by SCB in the table below, the largest increase in absolute terms was recorded in the electricity, gas and heat supply; water supply, sewerage and waste management sector. Emissions increased by 203 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents, corresponding to an increase of 10 per cent. The primary reason for this rise was the colder weather at the beginning of 2026. • Emissions also increased in the mining and quarrying sector, by 3.5 per cent, corresponding to 8 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents.
- Emissions in the transport sector remained unchanged.
- Emissions decreased in all other sectors. In the construction sector, emissions decreased by 1.7 per cent, corresponding to 9 kilotonnes. Emissions from households and non-profit institutions serving households decreased by 51 kilotonnes (2.5 per cent). Emissions in agriculture, forestry and fishing decreased by 8 kilotonnes (0.4 per cent). Emissions from the public sector decreased by 2 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents (1.6 per cent). Emissions from manufacturing decreased by 52 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents (1.5 per cent). Emissions from other service industries decreased by 15 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents (2.0 per cent).
Greenhouse gas emissions and value added (aggregated industries, NACE Rev. 2, not seasonally adjusted). Kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents and SEK million in constant prices, reference year 2025.
Aggregated industries, NACE Rev. 2 |
Preliminary greenhouse gas emissions |
Preliminary value added |
||||
2026Q1 |
Change compared with 2025Q1 |
2026Q1 |
Change compared with 2025Q1 |
|||
Agriculture, forestry and fishery |
2 066 |
-8 |
-0,4% |
27 649 |
-637 |
-2,3% |
Mining and quarrying |
234 |
8 |
3,5% |
8 905 |
601 |
7,2% |
Manufacturing |
3 283 |
-52 |
-1,5% |
207 643 |
7 987 |
4,0% |
Electricity, gas, heat, water, waste |
2 146 |
203 |
10,5% |
60 558 |
1 671 |
2,8% |
Construction |
493 |
-9 |
-1,7% |
76 121 |
3 138 |
4,3% |
Transport |
1 941 |
0 |
0,0% |
50 088 |
-1 921 |
-3,7% |
Other services |
731 |
-15 |
-2,0% |
707 078 |
14 974 |
2,2% |
Public sector |
93 |
-2 |
-1,6% |
322 079 |
962 |
0,3% |
Households and non-profit institutions [1] |
1 946 |
-51 |
-2,5% |
17 534 |
500 |
2,9% |
Total economy [2] |
12 933 |
77 |
0,6% |
1 634 416 |
32 332 |
2,0% |
Development of greenhouse gas emissions and value added. Percentage change between 2026Q1 and 2025Q1.
Greenhouse gas emissions and economic development, GDP at market prices and in constant prices (reference year 2025), 2008Q1–2026Q1, Index 2008=100.
Definitions and explanations
What does the quarterly statistics show?
The quarterly statistics from Statistics Sweden’s environmental accounts report production-based air emissions by industry for the Swedish economy, including households. Production-based emissions refer to greenhouse gas emissions generated by Swedish economic actors. The statistics cover emissions from Swedish companies and individuals occurring both within and outside Sweden’s borders. Production-based emissions follow the same system boundary as the national economic statistics, the National Accounts.
For the transport industry, emissions generated by transport companies with economic residence in Sweden are included, regardless of where in the world these emissions occur. Correspondingly, emissions from foreign economic actors are excluded. For example, emissions from foreign airlines operating flights to, from or within Sweden are not included.
In accordance with the climate convention, biogenic carbon dioxide emissions from the combustion of biofuels are reported separately from fossil carbon dioxide emissions. In the statistics on total greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy, biogenic emissions are excluded. This is because the extraction of biomass from forests and land (for example for the production of biofuels) is monitored within the land use sector (LULUCF) in Sweden’s reporting under international commitments such as the Paris Agreement. If the same quantities of carbon reported as biomass extraction were also reported as emissions from the combustion of biofuels, this would result in double counting. To ensure that all carbon dioxide emissions are accounted for, biogenic carbon dioxide emissions from the Swedish economy are therefore presented as a separate category.
When comparing quarters, readers should be aware of seasonal variations. For example, emissions from the Electricity, gas, heating, water, sewage and waste management sector tend to be higher during the colder months of the year, while households’ consumption of diesel and petrol is higher during the warmer months.
Greenhouse gases expressed in carbon dioxide equivalents are calculated as an aggregate of CO₂ (fossil), CH₄, N₂O, HFCs, PFCs and SF₆. The conversion factors (Global Warming Potential, GWP) used to calculate carbon dioxide equivalents are the same as those applied in Sweden’s climate reporting to the UNFCCC[1].
[1] IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp, AR5 Synthesis Report - Climate Change 2014 (ipcc.ch).
Revisions
The OECD has not updated the statistics used to estimate emissions from aviation. Until publication of these data resumes, estimates have been based on data from the corresponding quarter of the previous year.
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